Champions League
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-
Leandro Barreiro
45'
-
Antonio Silva
45'+5'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
73'
-
Joao Pedro Seno Luis Rego
90'+1'
-
Pau Cubarsi
22'
-
Inigo Martinez
45'+2'
-
Raphinha
61'
Benfica vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Benfica
52.7%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
22.45%
▲
(+0.03)
Barcelona
24.84%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
60.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
39.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
37.95%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
62.04%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
20.52%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
79.47%
▲
(+0.04)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
84.85%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
15.15%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
56.26%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
43.73%
▲
(+0.09)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
70.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
29.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
34.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
65.1%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Benfica
52.7%
Draw
22.45%
Barcelona
24.84%
Benfica
2-1
@
9.7%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 52.7%
1-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 52.7%
Draw
1-1
@
10.27%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.45%
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.45%
Barcelona
1-2
@
6.33%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 24.84%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
2'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
22'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
30'
-
Ronald Araujo
68'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
76'
-
Arthur Cabral
90'+8'
-
Robert Lewandowski
13'
-
Gavi
36'
-
Raphinha
64'
-
Jules Kounde
66'
-
Robert Lewandowski
78'
-
Eric Garcia
86'
-
Frenkie de Jong
90'+4'
-
Raphinha
90'+6'
-
Fermin Lopez
90'+8'