La Liga Gameweek 24
Barcelona
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Rayo Vallecano
  • Robert Lewandowski 28' goal
  • Gavi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 27'
  • yellowcard Andrei Ratiu 41'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 87'

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 8.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 4 Barcelona
Goals scored
102
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2025 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Valladolid
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Barcelona 67.31% ▲ (+1.56)
Draw 18.62% ▼ (-0.72)
Rayo Vallecano 14.06% ▼ (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% ▲ (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.31% ▲ (+1.49)
Under 2.5 38.68% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 3.5 39.01% ▲ (+1.56)
Under 3.5 60.99% ▼ (-1.57)
Over 4.5 21.35% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 4.5 78.64% ▼ (-1.23)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 89.41% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 0.5 10.59% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 1.5 65.64% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 1.5 34.36% ▼ (-1.84)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 60.2% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 39.8% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 23.53% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 76.47% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Barcelona 67.31%
Draw 18.62%
Rayo Vallecano 14.06%
Barcelona
2-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.35)
3-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.20)
4-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 67.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.62%
Rayo Vallecano
1-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.20)
0-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 14.06%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
Aug 27, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Barcelona
  • Unai Lopez 9' goal
  • Isi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 71' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pedri 60'
  • goal Dani Olmo 82'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Barcelona
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Rayo Vallecano
  • Robert Lewandowski 3' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 10' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 31' yellowcard
  • Pau Cubarsi 37' yellowcard
  • Pedri 72' goal
  • Pedri 75' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 23'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 50'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Rayo Vallecano
Nov 25, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Barcelona
  • Unai Lopez 39' goal
  • Alfonso Espino 64' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedri 31'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 51'
  • goal Florian Lejeune 82' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
Apr 26, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Barcelona
  • Alvaro Garcia 19' goal
  • Fran Garcia 53' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 83'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Barcelona
Aug 13, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Rayo Vallecano
  • Ousmane Dembele 14' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 74' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 45'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 54'
  • yellowcard Radamel Falcao 69'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 86'
  • yellowcard Stole Dimitrievski 89'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Barcelona
Apr 24, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Gavi 28' yellowcard
  • Luuk de Jong 81' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 89' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gavi 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 7'
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 37'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 69'
  • yellowcard Isi 85'
  • redcard Andoni Iraola 86'
  • yellowcard Mario Hernandez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 90'+12'

Form Data

Sevilla 1 - 4 Barcelona
Valencia 0 - 5 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Alaves
Barcelona 2 - 2 Atalanta
Barcelona 7 - 1 Valencia
Benfica 4 - 5 Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Valladolid
Leganes 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Girona
Osasuna 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Celta Vigo

Build-up

News