La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Lewandowski (28' pen.)
Gavi (45+2'), Torres (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ciss (27'), Ratiu (41'), Embarba (87')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, February 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Valladolid
Friday, February 7 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
67.31% ( 1.56)	18.62% ( -0.72)	14.06% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 53.82% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

1.49)

38.68% (

-1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.01% (

1.56)

60.99% (

-1.56)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.41% (

0.82)

10.59% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.64% (

1.83)

34.36% (

-1.84)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.2% (

-0.23)

39.8% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.53% (

-0.21)

76.47% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 67.31%

Rayo Vallecano 14.06%

Draw 18.62%

Barcelona	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.17) Other @ 4.47% Total : 67.31%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.62%	1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.06%