Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Barcelona |
| 15.34% ( | 18.91% ( | 65.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( | 37.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( | 59.42% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.85% ( | 37.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( | 73.94% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.43% ( | 10.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.67% ( | 34.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 4.33% ( 1-0 @ 3.89% ( 2-0 @ 1.93% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 3-1 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.34% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.91% | 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0-3 @ 7.43% ( 1-3 @ 7.35% ( 0-4 @ 4.17% ( 1-4 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0-5 @ 1.88% ( 1-5 @ 1.86% ( 2-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.78% Total : 65.75% |