Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 49.54% ( | 25.91% ( | 24.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.39% ( | 54.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% ( | 75.94% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( | 22.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( | 55.42% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( | 37.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% ( | 74.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.55% |