Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.