Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 53.24% ( | 22.86% ( | 23.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( | 64.94% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( | 15.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% ( | 45.27% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( | 31.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( | 67.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.9% |