Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Arnaut Danjuma 28' goal
  • Antal Yaakobishvili 51' yellowcard
  • Portu 79' yellowcard
  • Arnau Martinez 85' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jorginho 38'
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 42'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 71'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 90'+3'

Girona vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Girona

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
Arsenal 3 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result

Girona 26.02% (-0.02)
Draw 23.7% (-0.01)
Arsenal 50.28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.01% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.34% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83% (-0.02)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5 69.28% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.72% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.02% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.98% (-0.01)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 82.29% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.71% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.63% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.37% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Girona 26.02%
Draw 23.7%
Arsenal 50.28%
Girona
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.7%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 9.62% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.15%
1-3 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 50.28%

Build-up

News
News