La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 8, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
1 - 2
Villarreal

Fuster (84')
Suarez (11'), Marmol (37'), Ramirez (40'), McKenna (55'), Suarez (87'), Moleiro (90+10'), Munoz (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baena (53'), Perez (66')
Cardona (33'), Comesana (38'), Baena (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Las Palmas
Monday, February 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Villarreal
33.59% ( 0.15)	26.31% ( 0.12)	40.1% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

-0.46)

51.83% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

-0.39)

73.59% (

0.4)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-0.13)

29.21% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

-0.16)

65.16% (

0.17)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

-0.34)

25.42% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77% (

-0.47)

60.23% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 33.59%

Villarreal 40.09%

Draw 26.31%

Las Palmas	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.59%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.09%