Taca de Portugal
Benfica
Feb 26, 2025 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 39' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 68'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 78'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+1'

Benfica vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Braga

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Braga had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 56.72% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 22.08% ▼ (-0.13)
Braga 21.19% ▼ (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.62% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.88% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 42.12% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 64.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 18.62% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 81.37% ▼ (-0.11)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 85.33% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 14.66% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 57.18% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 42.81% ▼ (-0.38)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 66.34% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 33.65% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 29.69% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 70.3% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

Benfica 56.73%
Draw 22.07%
Braga 21.19%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 56.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.07%
Braga
1-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.19%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Benfica
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Angel di Maria 27' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 28' goal
  • Angel di Maria 37' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 62'
  • redcard Jonatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro 78'
  • yellowcard Roger Fernandes 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Benfica
Jan 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Angel di Maria 52' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 77' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 79' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 88' yellowcard
  • Jan-Niklas Beste 89' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Navarro 17'
  • yellowcard Jean-Baptiste Gorby 36'
  • goal Robson Bambu 40'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Benfica
Apr 27, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Marcos Leonardo 71' goal
  • David Neres 85' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+5' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Vitor Carvalho 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Horta 28'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 79'
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 82'
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 82'
  • redcard Victor Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 90'+8'
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Morato 40' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 42' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 44' goal
  • Angel di Maria 60' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Aursnes 70' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 7'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 48'
  • yellowcard Victor Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 72'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Braga
Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Benfica
  • Serdar Saatci 26' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 76' yellowcard
  • Vitor Carvalho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morato 2'
  • goal Casper Tengstedt 3'
  • yellowcard Anatoliy Trubin 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Benfica
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Rafa Silva 67' goal

Form Data

Benfica 3 - 0 Boavista
Benfica 3 - 3 Monaco
Santa Clara 0 - 1 Benfica
Monaco 0 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 3 - 2 Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 2 - 3 Benfica
Braga 1 - 0 Nacional
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Braga
Braga 2 - 0 Gil Vicente
Moreirense 1 - 2 Braga
Braga 1 - 0 Lazio
Braga 3 - 0 Boavista