Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Braga had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Braga
56.72% ( 0.46)	22.08% ( -0.13)	21.19% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 56.62% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

0.13)

42.12% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

0.13)

64.52% (

-0.14)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

0.19)

14.66% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18% (

0.37)

42.81% (

-0.38)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

-0.25)

33.65% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

-0.27)

70.3% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Benfica 56.73%

Braga 21.19%

Draw 22.07%

Benfica	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 56.73%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.07%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.19%