Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
2 - 1
Famalicao

Penha (14'), Abidi (90+4')
Vitor (78'), Vitor (78'), Appiah (90+3'), Garcia (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aranda (56')
Mihaj (34'), De Amorim (51'), Mamageishvili (88'), Elisor (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Nacional
Friday, February 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 26.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).

Result
Nacional	Draw	Famalicao
26.37% ( -0.15)	26.14% ( 0.39)	47.5% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

-1.6)

54.16% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

-1.36)

75.58% (

1.36)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

-0.99)

35.69% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

-1.03)

72.46% (

1.03)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.78)

22.81% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.48% (

-1.17)

56.52% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Nacional 26.37%

Famalicao 47.5%

Draw 26.13%

Nacional	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.37%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.5%