Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santa Clara in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 29.15% ( | 28.9% ( | 41.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( | 62.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( | 82.14% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( | 38.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% ( | 74.77% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( | 65.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 3-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.65% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-3 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.47% Total : 41.95% |