Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.