Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 7, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Gil Vicente

Cabral (69')
Ruiz (7'), Sacalumbo (21'), Keliano (47'), Montoia (87'), Pinho (89'), Pinho (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia Gonzalez (83')
Cruz (37'), Correia (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, February 27 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Gil Vicente
27.4% ( 0.62)	29.01% ( 0.47)	43.58% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 42.57% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.45% (

-1.22)

63.55% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.14% (

-0.88)

82.86% (

0.88)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99% (

-0.16)

40% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

-0.14)

76.65% (

0.14)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95% (

-1.18)

29.04% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04% (

-1.48)

64.95% (

1.48)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 27.4%

Gil Vicente 43.58%

Draw 29%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.4%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29%	0-1 @ 14.36% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.49% Total : 43.58%