/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos
45'
-
Daniel Penha
45'+4'
-
Paulinho
60'
-
Diederrick Joel
75'
-
Arvin Appiah
90'+6'
-
Gaizka Larrazabal
49'
-
Ruben Kluivert
89'
Nacional vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fnuno-moreira.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result
Nacional
45.37%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
25.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Casa Pia
28.75%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
52.12%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.24%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
51.76%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
26.47%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
73.53%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
12.31%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
87.69%
▲
(+0.10)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
77.24%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
22.76%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
43.55%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
56.45%
▲
(+0.23)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
67.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
32.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
30.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
69.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Nacional
45.37%
Draw
25.87%
Casa Pia
28.75%
Nacional
1-0
@
10.95%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.37%
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.37%
Draw
1-1
@
12.3%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.87%
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.87%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
8.31%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.75%
1-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.75%
