Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2025 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Esgaio (45' og.)
Roberto (28'), Tchamba (48'), Svensson Rio (90+3'), Brito (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Inacio (12'), Gyokeres (34', 77' pen.)
Inacio (6'), Hjulmand (56'), Diomande (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, March 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Estoril
Monday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 12.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
12.29% ( -0.02)	20.03% ( 0)	67.68% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.07% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98% (

-0.07)

49.01% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9% (

-0.06)

71.09% (

0.06)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

-0.07)

49.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

-0.05)

83.99% (

0.05)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.49% (

-0.02)

13.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.45% (

-0.03)

40.55% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 12.29%

Sporting Lisbon 67.67%

Draw 20.03%

Casa Pia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 12.29%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.03%	0-2 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 67.67%