Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Sporting Lisbon

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Esgaio (45' og.)
Roberto (28'), Tchamba (48'), Svensson Rio (90+3'), Brito (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Inacio (12'), Gyokeres (34', 77' pen.)
Inacio (6'), Hjulmand (56'), Diomande (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, March 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Estoril
Monday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 12.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSporting Lisbon
12.29% (-0.023 -0.02)20.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)67.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (-0.067 -0.07)49.01% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (-0.058 -0.06)71.09% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)49.05% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (-0.055 -0.05)83.99% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)13.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 12.29%
    Sporting Lisbon 67.67%
    Draw 20.03%
Casa PiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 12.29%
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.03%
0-2 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 13.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.16% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 67.67%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon

Casa Pia
3.7%
Draw
14.8%
Sporting Lisbon
81.5%
27
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Casa Pia
Braganca (39'), Gyokeres (80' pen.)
Braganca (82')

Zolotic (36'), Kluivert (78')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2024 8.45pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
8-0
Casa Pia
Coates (14', 81'), Gyokeres (23', 32' pen.), Goncalves (25'), Trincao (43', 90+4'), Catamo (64')
Hjulmand (38')

Nunes (13')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Casa Pia
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Clayton (58')
Mukendi (45+12'), Varela (55'), Neto (90'), Geraldes (90+8')
Paulinho (3', 61')
Inacio (72')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Casa Pia
3-4
Sporting Lisbon
Martins (7'), Soma (45+1'), Cardoso (62')
Trincao (1', 39', 85'), Goncalves (48')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Casa Pia
Paulinho (57'), Santos (59'), Goncalves (65' pen.)
Clayton (43')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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