Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Montoia (21'), Keliano (24'), Bucca (45+3'), Ruiz (47'), Pantalon (53'), Ferro (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyokeres (52' pen., 89' pen.), Tcherno Quenda (81')
Reis (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Famalicao
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.71%) and 0-3 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
7.71% ( -0.05)	15.32% ( -0.11)	76.97% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 41.98% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13% (

0.34)

41.86% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73% (

0.34)

64.26% (

-0.34)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.16% (

0.1)

53.84% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.82% (

0.06)

87.17% (

-0.06)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.94% (

0.12)

9.06% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.18% (

0.29)

30.82% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 7.71%

Sporting Lisbon 76.96%

Draw 15.32%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 7.71%	1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 15.32%	0-2 @ 14.06% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 76.96%