Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
Mar 29, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Sporting Lisbon
  • Guilherme Montoia 21' yellowcard
  • Manuel Keliano 24' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Montoia 34' redcard
  • Alan Ruiz 47' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 53' yellowcard
  • Ferro 55' yellowcard
  • Ruben Lima 87' redcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 52'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 66'
  • goal Geovany Tcherno Quenda 81'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 89'

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 8.30pm
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Famalicao
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.71%) and 0-3 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Estrela Amadora 7.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 15.32% ▼ (-0.12)
Sporting Lisbon 76.97% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.98% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.13% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 41.86% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 35.73% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 64.26% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 4.5 18.82% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 4.5 81.18% ▼ (-0.26)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 46.16% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 53.84% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 12.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 87.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 90.94% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 9.06% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 69.18% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 30.82% ▼ (-0.29)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 7.71%
Draw 15.32%
Sporting Lisbon 76.96%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 7.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 15.32%
Sporting Lisbon
0-2 @ 14.06% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 11.71% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.05)
0-5 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.04)
0-6 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 76.96%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 1, 2024 8.15pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estrela Amadora
  • Viktor Gyokeres 19' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 31' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 42' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 4'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 35'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 41'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 44'
  • yellowcard Ferro 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
Mar 29, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Sporting Lisbon
  • Leonel Bucca 16' goal
  • Leo Cordeiro 31' yellowcard
  • Aloisio Genezio 37' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 22'
  • goal Paulinho 23'
  • goal Nuno Santos 40'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 5, 2023 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Estrela Amadora
  • Daniel Braganca 33' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 71' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 76' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 79' goal
  • goal Leo Jaba 50'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Kikas 66'

Form Data

Guimaraes 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 1 Gil Vicente
Moreirense 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Santa Clara
Boavista 0 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Famalicao
Casa Pia 1 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Estoril
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
AVS 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Dortmund 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon