Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Famalicao

Fresneda (1'), Gyokeres (64' pen.), Catamo (88')
Diomande (32'), Hjulmand (38'), Debast (60'), Trincao (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aranda (35' pen.)
de Haas (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Famalicao
60.88% ( 0.14)	21.06% ( -0.03)	18.07% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0.07)

42.12% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.48% (

-0.07)

64.52% (

0.07)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

0.02)

13.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.71% (

0.04)

40.29% (

-0.04)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

-0.17)

36.88% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

-0.17)

73.67% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 60.88%

Famalicao 18.07%

Draw 21.06%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 60.88%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.06%	1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.07%