Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2025 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Braga

Gyokeres (3', 15')
Inacio (64'), Hjulmand (85'), St Juste (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cruz Patrao (87')
Oliveira (14'), Moutinho (30'), Bambu (61'), Niakate (65')
Moutinho (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Thursday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
60.11% ( -0.1)	20.84% ( 0.13)	19.05% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.48% (

-0.67)

39.52% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.14% (

-0.7)

61.86% (

0.7)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.22% (

-0.24)

12.78% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.93% (

-0.5)

39.07% (

0.5)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

-0.42)

34.29% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

-0.46)

70.99% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 60.11%

Braga 19.05%

Draw 20.84%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 60.11%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.84%	1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 19.05%