Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 0
Porto

Horta (17')
Moutinho (88'), Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (6'), Borges (9'), Fernandes (15'), Otavio (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Braga
Sunday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Porto
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Porto had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Porto
42.11% ( -0.36)	24.47% ( 0.06)	33.42% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 59.01% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.23% (

-0.19)

43.77% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.84% (

-0.19)

66.16% (

0.19)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

-0.24)

20.89% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.4% (

-0.38)

53.6% (

0.39)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

0.09)

25.41% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

0.12)

60.22% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Braga 42.11%

Porto 33.42%

Draw 24.47%

Braga	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.42%