/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
-
Ricardo Horta
17'
-
Joao Moutinho
88'
-
Tiago Sa
90'
-
Francisco Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues
90'+2'
-
Nehuen Perez
6'
-
Goncalo Borges
9'
-
Martim Fernandes
15'
-
Otavio
90'+1'
Braga vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fcarlos-carvalhal.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Porto had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Braga
42.11%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
24.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Porto
33.42%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
59.01%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.23%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
43.77%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
33.84%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
66.16%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
17.41%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
82.59%
▲
(+0.15)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
79.11%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
20.89%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
46.4%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
53.6%
▲
(+0.39)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
74.59%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
25.41%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
39.78%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
60.22%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
Braga
42.11%
Draw
24.47%
Porto
33.42%
Braga
2-1
@
8.92%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.11%
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.11%
Draw
1-1
@
11.38%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.47%
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.47%
Porto
1-2
@
7.8%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 33.42%
0-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 33.42%