Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Braga

Clayton (5'), Panzo (70')
Tiknaz (31'), Neto (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Navarro (10')
Navarro (36'), Moutinho (54'), Gharbi (65'), Racic (78'), Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Braga
28.05% ( 0.49)	25.74% ( 0.02)	46.21% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 52.08% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

0.2)

51.6% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

0.17)

73.39% (

-0.17)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

0.49)

32.98% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

0.54)

69.56% (

-0.53)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

-0.14)

22.31% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

-0.22)

55.77% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 28.05%

Braga 46.21%

Draw 25.74%

Rio Ave	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.05%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.21%