Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Begraoui (55'), Orellana (90')
Bacher (25'), Alvaro (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morais (83')
Bakoulas (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 AVS
Sunday, February 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Estoril Praia.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
38.83% ( -0.51)	27.23% ( -0.09)	33.94% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

0.46)

55.46% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

0.38)

76.65% (

-0.38)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-0.07)

27.8% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-0.09)

63.39% (

0.09)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

0.63)

30.79% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

0.73)

67.06% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 38.83%

Rio Ave 33.93%

Draw 27.22%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.83%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.93%