Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Arouca

Martinez (22'), Horta (39'), Racic (44')
Racic (61'), Zalazar (64')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Trezza (68')
Fukui (77'), Fontan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Braga
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Arouca
61.62% ( -0.5)	20.33% ( 0.19)	18.05% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.24% (

-0.35)

38.76% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93% (

-0.38)

61.07% (

0.38)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

-0.24)

12.12% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.31% (

-0.52)

37.69% (

0.53)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

0.13)

34.9% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

0.13)

71.64% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Braga 61.62%

Arouca 18.05%

Draw 20.33%

Braga	Draw	Arouca
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.95% Total : 61.62%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 18.05%