Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Morlaye Sylla 13' goal
  • Vasco Seabra 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 67'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 90'+2'

Arouca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.30pm
AVS 0 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alfonso Trezza

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 6.00pm
Estoril 2 - 2 Farense
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Arouca 42.82% (-0.74)
Draw 25.59% (+0.16)
Estoril Praia 31.59% (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.66% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 49.34% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 28.61% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 71.39% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 13.72% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 86.28% (+0.27)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 22.93% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 43.3% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 56.7% (+0.80)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 70.72% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 29.28% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 34.75% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 65.25% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Arouca 42.82%
Draw 25.58%
Estoril Praia 31.59%
Arouca
1-0 @ 9.89% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 42.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 8.25% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.46% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.07% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 31.59%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Fabricio Garcia 21' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 30' goal
  • Pedro Amaral 40' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 42' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 64' goal
  • Joel Robles 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Holsgrove 90' goal
  • Michel 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Henrique Araujo 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 36'
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Rafik Guitane 3' goal
  • Joao Marques 50' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mujica 8'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 50'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Tiago Esgaio 4' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 10' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 20' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 21' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 37' redcard
  • Cristo 57' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 73' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+6' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 41'
  • goal Joao Marques 49'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Gomes 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Joao Carvalho 68' goal
  • Cassiano 90'+4' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Oday Dabbagh 28' goal
  • Oday Dabbagh 64' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Abdoulaye Ba 6' goal
  • Joaozinho 26' yellowcard
  • Andre Franco 67' yellowcard
  • Chico Geraldes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Ba 54'
  • yellowcard Pedro Moreira 75'
  • goal Andre Silva 89'
  • goal Eboue Kouassi 90'+7'