Primeira Liga
Gameweek
25
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-
Lucas Fernandes
42'
-
Dylan Nandin
45'+4'
-
Tiago Esgaio
89'
AVS vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for AVS had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arouca in this match.
Result
AVS
24.08%
▲
(+0.31)
Draw
24.66%
▲
(+0.19)
Arouca
51.25%
▼
(-0.49)
Both Teams to Score:
51.94%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.89%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 2.5
50.1%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 3.5
27.92%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
72.07%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 4.5
13.26%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
86.73%
▲
(+0.29)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5
64.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
35.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
27.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
72.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
80.45%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
19.54%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
48.55%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
51.45%
▲
(+0.63)
Score analysis
AVS
24.08%
Draw
24.65%
Arouca
51.24%
AVS
1-0
@
7.19%
▲
(+0.15)
2-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.08%
2-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.08%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.65%
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.65%
Arouca
0-1
@
11.3%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.24%
1-2 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.24%
