Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
0 - 1
Arouca

Fernandes (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Esgaio (89')
Nandin (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 AVS
Sunday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Porto
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for AVS had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arouca in this match.

Result
AVS	Draw	Arouca
24.08% ( 0.3)	24.66% ( 0.19)	51.25% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.89% (

-0.48)

50.1% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.92% (

-0.43)

72.07% (

0.43)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

0.01)

35.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

0.01)

72.2% (

-0)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-0.38)

19.54% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55% (

-0.63)

51.45% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

AVS 24.08%

Arouca 51.24%

Draw 24.65%

AVS	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.08%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.24%