Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 1
AVS

Lopes (63'), Velho (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luis (90+6' pen.)
Tavares (8'), Grau (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Farense
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AVS in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	AVS
32.36% ( 0.01)	27.43% ( 0.12)	40.21% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.49% (

-0.46)

56.51% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5% (

-0.38)

77.5% (

0.37)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

-0.23)

32.38% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

-0.26)

68.89% (

0.25)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

-0.3)

27.52% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

-0.38)

63.03% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 32.35%

AVS 40.2%

Draw 27.42%

SC Farense	Draw	AVS
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.35%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.2%