Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
2 - 2
Farense

Trezza (56'), Nandin (67')
Simao (53'), Fukui (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Poloni (44'), Tomane (89')
Jorge (30'), Poloni (42'), Victor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Porto
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	SC Farense
54.26% ( -0.18)	25.71% ( 0.1)	20.03% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.03% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.02% (

-0.27)

57.98% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.32% (

-0.21)

78.67% (

0.21)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-0.19)

21.45% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.52% (

-0.29)

54.47% (

0.28)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.05% (

-0.08)

43.94% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.92% (

-0.06)

80.08% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Arouca 54.25%

SC Farense 20.03%

Draw 25.71%

Arouca	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.03%