Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 2
Farense

Zanocelo (50'), Marques (54')
Lacximicant (85'), Boma (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (85'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (90+3')
Ribeiro (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Estoril
Monday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 AVS
Sunday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	SC Farense
53.92% ( 1.14)	25.06% ( -0.42)	21.02% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 47.11% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38% (

0.83)

54.62% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.04% (

0.68)

75.96% (

-0.68)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

0.8)

20.24% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

1.26)

52.58% (

-1.26)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.07% (

-0.27)

40.93% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.51% (

-0.24)

77.49% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 53.91%

SC Farense 21.02%

Draw 25.06%

Estoril Praia	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.91%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.02%