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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Braga

Farense
0 - 1
Braga


Pastor (71'), Soares (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (70')
Bambu (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Farense
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBraga
16.56% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)22.8% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.64% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13% (0.101 0.1)51.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)73.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)80.53%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.064999999999998 0.06)16.71% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (0.12 0.12)46.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 16.56%
    Braga 60.64%
    Draw 22.8%
SC FarenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.56%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 13.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.75% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.18% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.57% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 60.64%

How you voted: Farense vs Braga

SC Farense
0.0%
Draw
5.0%
Braga
95.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Braga
2-0
Farense
Gharbi (41'), El Ouazzani (70')
Niakate (90+2')

Millan (56'), Neto (59')
Feb 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Farense
Banza (62'), Ndour (85')
Zalazar (45'), Fonte (63'), Djalo (73'), Magalhaes (89'), Niakate (90+6')
Belloumi (74')
Falcao (36'), Duarte (39'), Pastor (40')
Sep 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
3-1
Braga
Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')
Apr 5, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farense
1-2
Braga
P (34')
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
1-0
Farense
Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')