Sporting Lisbon
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Catamo (12'), Gyokeres (45+1' pen.)
Gyokeres (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ntoi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
67.31% (0.767 0.77)18.93% (-0.162 -0.16)13.76% (-0.606 -0.61)
Both teams to score 51.83% (-1.115 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.636 -0.64)40.87% (0.636 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)63.26% (0.652 0.65)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.79% (0.019000000000005 0.02)11.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)35.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (-1.271 -1.27)41.63% (1.269 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89% (-1.133 -1.13)78.11% (1.132 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 67.3%
    Rio Ave 13.76%
    Draw 18.93%
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.294 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.15% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 67.3%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.93%
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 13.76%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
86.8%
Draw
9.4%
Rio Ave
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 18
Rio Ave
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Aguilera (54')
Aderlan (3' og.), Hjulmand (23' pen.), Gyokeres (88')
Araujo (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Rio Ave
Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 19
Rio Ave
0-1
Sporting Lisbon
Chermiti (84')
> Preview