Rio Ave
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 22, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Luiz (66')
Ntoi (47'), Luiz (72'), Bakoulas (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Inacio (11'), Gyokeres (50')
St Juste (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara
Friday, April 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Moreirense
Friday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
12.08% (-0.032 -0.03)17.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)70.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)36.79% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)58.96% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (-0.073 -0.07)41.57% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (-0.064 -0.06)78.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)9.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.28%
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 12.08%
    Sporting Lisbon 70.72%
    Draw 17.2%
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 3.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 12.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.2%
0-2 @ 10.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.65% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 2.15%
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
0-6 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
18.9%
Draw
21.6%
Sporting Lisbon
59.5%
37
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 8.15pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Catamo (12'), Gyokeres (45+1' pen.)
Gyokeres (72')

Ntoi (83')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 18
Rio Ave
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Aguilera (54')
Aderlan (3' og.), Hjulmand (23' pen.), Gyokeres (88')
Araujo (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Rio Ave
Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
> Preview