Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Capital do Movel
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Rio Ave 0-1 Santa Clara
Having gone unbeaten on home soil until the new year, Rio Ave have now lost 50% of their six matches in front of their fans since the start of 2025. Although Santa Clara have secured two victories in six in 2025, the hosts' possible focus on next week's domestic cup semi-final second leg, combined with the away side's ambition to leapfrog Vitoria Guimaraes, could see Matos's side clinch a narrow victory in Vila do Conde. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
29.46% ( -1.61) | 27.22% ( -0.2) | 43.31% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 48.48% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
