Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 18, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio da Capital do Movel

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Santa Clara

Luiz (25')
Kostoulas (5'), Ntoi (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lima (85')
Ramos (8'), Matheusinho (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Santa Clara
29.46% ( -1.61)	27.22% ( -0.2)	43.31% ( 1.8)

Both teams to score 48.48% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.36% (

0.16)

56.64% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.39% (

0.13)

77.6% (

-0.13)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

-1.11)

34.55% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73% (

-1.19)

71.27% (

1.19)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

1.02)

25.92% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08% (

1.36)

60.92% (

-1.36)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 29.46%

Santa Clara 43.31%

Draw 27.22%

Rio Ave	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.46%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.31%