Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 3
Benfica

Aguilera (64'), Clayton (75')
Clayton (58'), Tiknaz (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kokcu (30'), Pavlidis (53' pen.), Akturkoglu (80')
Luis (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Benfica
Tuesday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
18.88% ( -0.03)	21.28% ( 0.11)	59.83% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.17% (

-0.54)

41.82% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77% (

-0.55)

64.22% (

0.55)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

-0.35)

35.82% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

-0.36)

72.59% (

0.36)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4% (

-0.2)

13.59% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.27% (

-0.4)

40.72% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 18.88%

Benfica 59.84%

Draw 21.28%

Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.88%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.28%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 59.84%