Champions League
Mar 11, 2025 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Raphinha 11' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 27' goal
  • Raphinha 42' goal
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 13'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 48'

Barcelona vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 1 Barcelona

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 1 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result

Barcelona 48.29% (-0.04)
Draw 22.64% (+0.01)
Benfica 29.06% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.36% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.91% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.09% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.72% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.28% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 22.72% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.28% (-0.02)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 84.27% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.18% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.81% (+0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.81% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.4% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona 48.29%
Draw 22.64%
Benfica 29.07%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4%
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 48.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.64%
Benfica
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.07%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Leandro Barreiro 45' yellowcard
  • Antonio Silva 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 73' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Seno Luis Rego 90'+1' yellowcard
  • redcard Pau Cubarsi 22'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 45'+2'
  • goal Raphinha 61'
Champions League
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
4
5
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 2' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 22' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 30' goal
  • Ronald Araujo 68' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 76' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 13'
  • yellowcard Gavi 36'
  • goal Raphinha 64'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 66'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 78'
  • goal Eric Garcia 86'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 90'+4'
  • goal Raphinha 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Fermin Lopez 90'+8'
Champions League
Nov 23, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gerard Pique 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 36'
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 49'
  • yellowcard Odisseas Vlachodimos 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Adel Taarabt 90'+5'
Champions League
Sep 29, 2021 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darwin Nunez 3' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 33' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 56' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 69' goal
  • Julian Weigl 72' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Gerard Pique 12'
  • yellowcard Eric Garcia 54'
  • yellowcard Sergino Dest 78'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 86'
  • redcard Eric Garcia 87'
Dec 5, 2012 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Oct 2, 2012 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 0'
  • goal Cesc Fabregas 0'

Build-up

News
Head to head
News