Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Cassiano (30'), Tchamba (62')
Larrazabal (68'), Roberto (70'), Kluivert (86'), Geraldes (89'), Caue (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Morais (21')
Bakoulas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Rio Ave
33.68% ( 2.67)	27.79% ( 1.14)	38.53% ( -3.81)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38% (

-3.74)

57.61% (

3.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61% (

-3.06)

78.38% (

3.05)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0.08)

32.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-0.09)

68.52% (

0.09)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

-3.84)

29.01% (

3.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

-5.02)

64.91% (

5.02)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 33.67%

Rio Ave 38.53%

Draw 27.78%

Casa Pia	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.57% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.67%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 1.25) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.67) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.39) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.35) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.31) Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.53%