Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 18, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Moreirense

Gyokeres (12', 25', 52')
Diomande (3'), Gyokeres (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Teguia (56')
Martins (50'), (66'), Lincon Farias de Sousa (66'), Pinto (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Moreirense
77% ( -0.27)	14.71% ( 0.12)	8.29% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3% (

-0.02)

36.69% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.14% (

-0.02)

58.85% (

0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.16% (

-0.06)

7.83% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.22% (

-0.16)

27.78% (

0.15)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.12% (

0.34)

48.87% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.13% (

0.24)

83.86% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 76.99%

Moreirense 8.29%

Draw 14.71%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Moreirense
2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 76.99%	1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.71%	0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.29%