Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
0 - 1
Moreirense

Cruz (31'), Aboubakar Bamba (53'), Marques (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Frimpong (48')
Pinto (17'), Alan (69'), Dambi Batista (90+5'), de Brito Gonzaga (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-3 Gil Vicente
Tuesday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Moreirense
35.09% ( -0.2)	28.77% ( -0.05)	36.13% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.95% (

0.17)

61.04% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97% (

0.13)

81.03% (

-0.13)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

-0.04)

32.87% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55% (

-0.05)

69.44% (

0.05)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

0.25)

32.19% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

0.28)

68.68% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 35.09%

Moreirense 36.13%

Draw 28.76%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.09%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.13%