Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
13.9% (![]() | 20.49% (![]() | 65.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% (![]() | 47.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.36% (![]() | 69.64% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.49% (![]() | 45.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.66% (![]() | 81.34% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% (![]() | 13.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.21% (![]() | 40.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-1 @ 1.01% 3-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.9% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 12.36% 0-2 @ 12.31% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.62% Total : 65.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |