Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 28, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
0 - 3
Benfica

Carlos (19'), Aboubakar Bamba (45+1'), Garcia Gonzalez (46'), Buatu Mananga (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aursnes (22'), Belotti (51'), di Maria (90+7' pen.)
Akturkoglu (83'), Luis (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Benfica
13.9% ( 0)	20.49% ( -0)	65.62% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58% (

0.01)

47.42% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

0.01)

69.64% (

-0.01)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.49% (

0.01)

45.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.66% (

0.01)

81.34% (

-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

13.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

40.79% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 13.9%

Benfica 65.61%

Draw 20.49%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 3.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-1 @ 1.01% 3-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.9%	1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.49%	0-1 @ 12.36% 0-2 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.62% Total : 65.61%