Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Schettine (31'), Martins (77')
Tavares (14'), Frimpong (53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arcanjo (37', 51')
Maga (53'), Andres Ramirez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
21.48% ( -0.07)	24.9% ( -0.06)	53.62% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45% (

0.15)

53.55% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

0.12)

75.06% (

-0.12)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.15% (

0.01)

39.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.49% (

0.01)

76.51% (

-0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

0.11)

19.94% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

0.17)

52.09% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 21.48%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.62%

Draw 24.89%

Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.48%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.62%