Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Sidnei Tavares 14' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 31' goal
  • Godfried Frimpong 53' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Martins 77' goal
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 37'
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 51'
  • yellowcard Maga 53'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 90'+1'

Moreirense vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 8.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Boavista
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alan

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 8.30pm
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gustavo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Moreirense 21.48% (-0.08)
Draw 24.9% (-0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.62% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.16% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.45% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.55% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 24.94% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 75.06% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 11.32% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 88.68% (-0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 60.15% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.85% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.51% (-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 80.06% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 19.94% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 47.91% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 52.09% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Moreirense 21.48%
Draw 24.89%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.62%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 7.31% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.89%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 12.81% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 10.33% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.55% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.11% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.62%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Nelson Oliveira 65' goal
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 20' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 43' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 68' goal
  • Tomas Ribeiro 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan 35'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Alan 41' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 55'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yan 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Fabio Pacheco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Estupinan 23'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 36'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 45'+2'
  • goal Rochinha 62'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Bamba 88'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Edwards 19' goal
  • Rochinha 29' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 35' yellowcard
  • Bruno Duarte 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Camara 42'
  • goal Felipe Pires 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andre Amaro 26' goal
  • Andre Almeida 30' goal
  • Silvio 40' yellowcard
  • Andre Amaro 53' yellowcard
  • Bruno Duarte 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 42'