Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.