Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Boavista

Alan (31' pen.)
Martins (36'), Marcelo (59'), Kewin (60'), Bozenik (69'), Antonisse (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Agra (29'), Abascal (36'), Vitoria (36'), Bozenik (65'), Kurzawa (72'), Reisinho (77')
Agra (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Moreirense
Sunday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Boavista
57.64% ( 0.56)	23.44% ( -0.27)	18.92% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04% (

0.68)

50.96% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.17% (

0.6)

72.82% (

-0.6)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

0.45)

17.44% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.11% (

0.78)

47.89% (

-0.79)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.89% (

0.07)

41.11% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35% (

0.06)

77.65% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 57.63%

Boavista 18.92%

Draw 23.44%

Moreirense	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.63%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.92%