Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 5, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 2
Famalicao

Araujo (71' pen.)
Faria Camara Lamba (33'), Yalcin (82'), Yalcin (82'), N'Diaye (90+1'), N'Diaye (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aranda (35' pen.), Topic (76')
Mihaj (19'), Pinheiro Ferreira (30'), van de Looi (54'), Soares (64'), Dias (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 4-1 AVS
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 34% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Arouca win is 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).

Result
Arouca	Draw	Famalicao
34% ( -0.26)	26.56% ( 0.02)	39.44% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

-0.12)

52.77% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

-0.1)

74.4% (

0.1)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-0.22)

29.41% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6% (

-0.27)

65.4% (

0.27)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

0.08)

26.2% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7% (

0.11)

61.3% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Arouca 34%

Famalicao 39.44%

Draw 26.56%

Arouca	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.44%