Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AVS had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.