Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2

Famalicao
4 - 1
AVS

Elisor (52'), De Amorim (63'), Vinicios (77'), Yassir Zabiri (90+1')
de Haas (6'), Sa (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nene (62')
Grau (26'), Nene (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Famalicao
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-0 AVS
Saturday, March 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AVS had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	AVS
57.39% ( -0.29)	25.5% ( 0.15)	17.11% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 40.18% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.42% (

-0.33)

60.57% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.32% (

-0.25)

80.67% (

0.24)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

-0.25)

21.23% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

-0.39)

54.12% (

0.39)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.01% (

-0.02)

48.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.05% (

-0.02)

83.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 57.37%

AVS 17.11%

Draw 25.49%

Famalicao	Draw	AVS
1-0 @ 16.11% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 57.37%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.11%