Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2
  • Justin de Haas 6' yellowcard
  • Simon Elisor 52' goal
  • Mathias De Amorim 63' goal
  • Marcos Vinicios 77' goal
  • Gustavo Sa 85' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Yassir Zabiri 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jaume Grau 26'
  • goal Nene 62'
  • yellowcard Nene 70'

Famalicao vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Famalicao
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Oscar Aranda

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 6.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 AVS
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AVS had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result

Famalicao 57.39% (-0.30)
Draw 25.5% (+0.16)
AVS 17.11% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.18% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.42% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 60.57% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 19.32% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 80.67% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 7.95% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 92.04% (+0.14)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 78.77% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 21.23% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 45.87% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 54.12% (+0.39)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 51.01% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 48.98% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 16.05% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.94% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Famalicao 57.37%
Draw 25.49%
AVS 17.11%
Famalicao
1-0 @ 16.11% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 57.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.39% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.49%
AVS
0-1 @ 7.42% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 17.11%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Vasco Lopes 6' goal
  • Tunde Akinsola 30' goal
  • Jaume Grau 39' yellowcard
  • Baptiste Roux 50' yellowcard
  • Vasco Lopes 72' yellowcard
  • Fernando Fonseca 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Aranda 14'
  • goal Gil Dias 17'
  • yellowcard Gil Dias 45'+1'
  • goal Gil Dias 77'