Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
AVS

Mora Carvalho (18'), Vieira (61')
Varela (60'), Perez (88'), Franco (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez Elduayen (45+1'), Lopes (50'), Teixeira (55')
Rodriguez Elduayen (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	AVS
76.43% ( -1.01)	15.36% ( 0.6)	8.2% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 44.2% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.75% (

-1.42)

40.24% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.38% (

-1.48)

62.61% (

1.47)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.2% (

-0.57)

8.79% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.82% (

-1.4)

30.17% (

1.39)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.47% (

0.01)

51.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.3% (

0.01)

85.69% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 76.42%

AVS 8.2%

Draw 15.36%

Porto	Draw	AVS
2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.42%	1-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.36%	0-1 @ 3% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.2%