Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
 
Gil Vicente logo

AroucaArouca
vs.
Gil Vicente

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca
Sunday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw has a probability of 25.88% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Arouca win it is 1-0 (8.01%).

Result
AroucaDrawGil Vicente
22.81% (0.122 0.12)25.88% (0.074999999999999 0.07)51.31% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.01% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (-0.172 -0.17)55.9% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (-0.142 -0.14)77.01% (0.139 0.14)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.018999999999998 0.02)39.85% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)76.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.158 -0.16)21.84% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.24 -0.24)55.07% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 22.81%
    Gil Vicente 51.31%
    Draw 25.87%
AroucaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.6% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 22.81%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 13.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.31%

Head to Head
May 10, 2025 8.30pm
gameweek 33
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Garcia Gonzalez (58')
Marques (67')
Puche (56')
Pinto (38'), Sylla (47'), Santos (76')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2024 8.15pm
gameweek 16
Arouca
1-1
Gil Vicente
Yalcin (81')
Gbane (64')
Caue (82')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2024 8.15pm
gameweek 31
Gil Vicente
2-2
Arouca
Toure (90+4'), Buatu Mananga (90+5')
Dominguez (34'), Neto (63'), Buatu Mananga (90+6')
Cristo (47', 82')
Milovanov (35')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 6pm
gameweek 14
Arouca
3-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (45+1', 61', 78')
Mujica (38'), Esgaio (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Carvalho (37')
Dabbagh (30')
> Preview