Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Landerson Costa Araujo 46' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62' goal
  • Mateja Stjepanovic 68' yellowcard
  • Mateja Stjepanovic 69' yellowcard
  • Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 69' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 76' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Dambi Batista 76' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Makan Aiko 67'
  • yellowcard Makan Aiko 68'
  • yellowcard Sphephelo Sithole 77'
  • yellowcard Afonso Rodrigues 77'
  • yellowcard Afonso Rodrigues 78'
  • yellowcard Sphephelo Sithole 78'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Conceicao 82'
  • yellowcard Helder Tavares 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Conceicao 83'
  • yellowcard Helder Tavares 83'

Moreirense vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 8.30pm
AVS 0 - 2 Moreirense
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Guilherme Schettine

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.30pm
Tondela 3 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Moreirense 42.79%
Draw 25.69%
Tondela 31.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.57%
Under 1.5 27.43%
Over 2.5 47.78%
Under 2.5 52.22%
Over 3.5 26.93%
Under 3.5 73.07%
Over 4.5 14.6%
Under 4.5 85.4%

First Half Winner

Moreirense 25.75%
Draw 44.66%
Tondela 29.59%

Team To Score First

Moreirense 43.83%
No Goal 7.69%
Tondela 48.48%

Corners

Over 8 48.26%
Equal 8 12.05%
Under 8 39.69%
Over 9 36.86%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 51.74%
Over 10.5 26.94%
Under 10.5 73.06%

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 39.97%
Under 1.5 60.03%
Over 2.5 16.63%
Under 2.5 83.37%
Over 3.5 5.7%
Under 3.5 94.3%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 64.04%
Under 0.5 35.96%
Over 1.5 31.08%
Under 1.5 68.92%
Over 2.5 11.75%
Under 2.5 88.25%
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

Moreirense 42.79%
Draw 25.68%
Tondela 31.56%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 5.61%
Total : 42.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 25.68%
Tondela
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 31.56%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rafael Martins 40' goal
  • Kevin Mirallas 45'+2' goal
  • Rafael Martins 50' yellowcard
  • Mateus Pasinato 64' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 74' yellowcard
  • Godfried Frimpong 88' yellowcard
  • Yan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Camara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 59'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 66'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 76'
  • yellowcard Matias Lacava 84'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Alves 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Jan 3, 2022 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniel dos Anjos 63' goal
  • Salvador Agra 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Manu Hernando 90'+13' goal
  • goal Rafael Martins 22'
  • yellowcard Abdu Conte 41'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Camara 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 17, 2021 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Steven Vitoria 20' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 28' goal
  • Abdu Conte 41' yellowcard
  • Rafael Martins 43' goal
  • David Simao 78' yellowcard
  • Alex Soares 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 4'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 10'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 12'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Alves 59'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 61'
  • yellowcard Bebeto 62'
  • yellowcard Yohan Tavares 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2020 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pedro Augusto 29' yellowcard
  • Bebeto 34' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 57' redcard
  • Jaume Grau 83' yellowcard
  • Enzo Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 32'
  • yellowcard Alex Soares 68'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Jul 26, 2020 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Abdu Conte 44' yellowcard
  • Joao Aurelio 70' goal
  • Steven Vitoria 88' yellowcard
  • Pedro Nuno 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Toro 27'
  • goal Joao Pedro 45'
  • goal Pepelu 90'
  • yellowcard Jhon Murillo 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 18, 2020 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Joao Cardoso
  • Fahd Moufi 45' yellowcard
  • Bruno Wilson 55' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Soares 47'
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 69'
  • goal Nene 79'
  • yellowcard Nene 87'