Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 at 8.30pm UK
 
Moreirense

vs.

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Moreirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-0 AVS
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw has a probability of 26.6% and a win for AVS has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.56%) , while for a AVS win it is 1-0 (8.76%).

Result
AVSDrawMoreirense
26.6% (0.096 0.1)26.6% (0.017000000000003 0.02)46.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.079000000000001 0.08)36.36% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (0.079999999999998 0.08)73.15% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)23.81% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)57.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AVS 26.6%
    Moreirense 46.81%
    Draw 26.59%
AVSDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.6%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 46.81%

Head to Head
May 17, 2025 6pm
gameweek 34
AVS
0-3
Moreirense

Afonso (8'), Fonseca (48'), Luis (51'), Galletto (73'), Akinsola (82'), Lopes (90+1'), Lopes (90+1')
Afonso (54')
Alan (17'), Teguia (25'), Jorquera (50')
Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos (7'), Martins (66'), Buta (88')
Jan 4, 2025 3.30pm
gameweek 17
Moreirense
1-1
AVS
Alan (9' pen.)
Pinto (45+1'), Gabrielzinho (78'), de Brito Gonzaga (90+4')
Grau (45')
Rodriguez Elduayen (7'), Roux (56'), Teixeira (79'), Nene (85'), Silva (90+6')