Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.57%. A draw had a probability of 8.86% and a win for AVS had a probability of 3.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.21%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.