Europa League
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Samu Omorodion 30' goal
  • Samu Omorodion 36' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Busanello 64'
  • yellowcard Jens Stryger Larsen 81'
  • goal Francisco Moura 90'+4' (OG)

Porto vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 5.45pm
Porto 3 - 0 Nice

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Nott'm Forest 3 - 0 Malmo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Porto 53.17%
Draw 23.31%
Malmo 23.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.63%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.09%
Under 2.5 44.91%
Over 3.5 32.73%
Under 3.5 67.26%
Over 4.5 16.6%
Under 4.5 83.4%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 83.14%
Under 0.5 16.85%
Over 1.5 53.13%
Under 1.5 46.86%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 66.91%
Under 0.5 33.09%
Over 1.5 30.31%
Under 1.5 69.68%

Score analysis

Porto 53.17%
Draw 23.31%
Malmo 23.52%
Porto
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 53.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.31%
Malmo
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.52%