Porto
2-1
Malmo Malmo

Omorodion (30', 36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moura (90+4' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 15 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Porto vs. Famalicao
Thursday, December 18 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Malmo

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Malmo
Thursday, December 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Malmo
53.17%	23.31%	23.52%

Both teams to score 55.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09%

44.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73%

67.26%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14%

16.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.13%

46.86%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91%

33.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31%

69.68%

Score Analysis

Porto 53.17%

Malmo 23.52%

Draw 23.31%

Porto	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.52%