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Estoril
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 22, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
 
Porto

Alverca
vs.
Porto

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Alverca and Porto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Sunday, December 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Famalicao
Thursday, December 18 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (12.38%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a Alverca win it is 1-0 (4.17%).

Result
AlvercaDrawPorto
11.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)18.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)45.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)68.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.14% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)48.85% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)83.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)11.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alverca 11.29%
    Porto 70%
    Draw 18.7%
AlvercaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.17%
2-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 11.29%
1-1 @ 8.87%
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 18.7%
0-2 @ 13.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 9.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 3.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.11%
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 70%

rhs 2.0


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