Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga
Dec 22, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
 
Porto

Alverca
0-3
Porto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sainz (29', 69'), Varela (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Alverca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last Game: Alverca 0-3 Porto
Monday, December 22 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Estoril vs. Alverca
Saturday, December 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Alverca 0-3 Porto
Monday, December 22 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Porto vs. AVS
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 18.71% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%) , while for a Alverca win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
AlvercaDrawPorto
11.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)70% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.88% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)83.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)11.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)37.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alverca 11.29%
    Porto 70%
    Draw 18.71%
AlvercaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.17%
2-1 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 11.29%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 18.71%
0-2 @ 13.18%
0-1 @ 12.4%
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 9.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-3 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 70%

rhs 2.0


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