Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Alverca
Dec 22, 2025 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca
Porto
  • Sabit Abdulai 85' yellowcard
  • goal Borja Sainz 29'
  • goal Alan Varela 57'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 63'
  • goal Borja Sainz 69'

Alverca vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 8.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Marko Milovanović

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2025 8.45pm
Porto 3 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Samu Aghehowa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 18.71% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%) , while for a Alverca win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 11.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 18.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Porto 70% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.02% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.11% ▼ (-0.01)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 51.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 48.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 16.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 88.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 11.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Alverca 11.29%
Draw 18.71%
Porto 70%
Alverca
1-0 @ 4.17%
2-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 11.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 18.71%
Porto
0-2 @ 13.18%
0-1 @ 12.4%
1-2 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 70%

Form Data

Arouca 1 - 0 Alverca
Alverca 1 - 0 Nacional
Casa Pia 0 - 2 Alverca
Alverca 1 - 1 Rio Ave
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Alverca
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Alverca
Porto 4 - 1 Famalicao
Porto 3 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Porto 2 - 1 Malmo
Tondela 0 - 2 Porto
Porto 1 - 3 Guimaraes
Porto 1 - 0 Estoril