Primeira Liga
Dec 20, 2025 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sidny Lopes Cabral 35' yellowcard
  • Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 33'

Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2025 8.45pm
Porto 3 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 6.00pm
Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 42.7% (-0.05)
Draw 26.97% (+0.01)
Moreirense 30.33% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.62% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.61% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.39% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.59% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.37% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.63% (-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 74.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.67% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.42% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.58% (+0.03)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 66.75% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.25% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 69.86% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 42.69%
Draw 26.97%
Moreirense 30.33%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.97%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.33%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Cedric Teguia 62' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 67' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Martins Travassos 36'
  • yellowcard Kikas 41'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 45'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 2' goal
  • Kikas 20' goal
  • Leonel Bucca 46' yellowcard
  • Till Cissokho 57' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 57' yellowcard
  • redcard Cesar Peixoto 47'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 73'
  • goal Ruben Ramos 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Andre Castro 26' goal
  • Bruno Brigido 43' goal
  • Vinicius Mingotti 70' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 79' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mansur 41'
  • yellowcard Sergio Vieira 42'
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 44'
  • goal Andre Luiz 54'
  • goal Kikas 83'
  • redcard Mansur 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Sergio Vieira 12' redcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 40' yellowcard
  • Joao Reis 56' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Madson 11'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 51'
  • yellowcard Alan 54'
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 76'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 81'
  • goal Andre Luis 90'
  • redcard Wallisson 90'+2'
Taca da Liga
Nov 27, 2022 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Goncalo Franco 32' goal
  • Fabio Pacheco 45' goal
  • Alan 69' goal
  • Kobamelo Kodisang 83' goal
  • goal Diogo Salomao 26'
  • goal Regis N'do 49'