Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
 
Moreirense

Estrela Amadora
vs.
MoreirenseMoreirense

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Moreirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 15 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 0-4 Benfica
Sunday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 30.26% and a draw has a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.77%).

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawMoreirense
42.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)26.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)30.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (0.004999999999999 0)76.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.54%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)33.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)69.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 42.77%
    Moreirense 30.26%
    Draw 26.96%
Estrela AmadoraDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.26%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 3.30pm
gameweek 24
Moreirense
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Tavares (78')
Teguia (62'), de Brito Gonzaga (67')
Kikas (55')
Martins Travassos (36'), Kikas (41'), Ruiz (45'), Liliano Saches Sousa (86')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2024 3.30pm
gameweek 7
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Moreirense
Bucca (2'), Kikas (20')
Bucca (46'), Cissokho (57'), Varela (57')
Ramos (83')
Silva (69'), Nlavo (73'), Miguel Costa Santos (86')
Peixoto (47')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2024 6pm
gameweek 28
Moreirense
2-2
Estrela Amadora
Castro (26'), Brigido (43' og.)
Mingotti (70'), Franco (79'), de Brito Gonzaga (90')
Luiz (54'), Kikas (83')
Mansur (41'), Vieira (42'), Gaspar (44')
Mansur (89')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
gameweek 11
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Moreirense

Cordeiro (40'), Reis (56'), Gaspar (90+6')
Vieira (12')
Luis (90')
Madson (11'), Luis (51'), Alan (54'), de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Marcelo (76'), Ofori (81')
Wallisson (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Moreirense
4-2
Estrela Amadora
Franco (32' pen.), Pacheco (45'), Alan (69'), Kodisang (83')
Salomao (26'), N'do (49')