Premier League
Chelsea
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Burnley
  • João Pedro 4' goal
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 74' yellowcard
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 75' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 80' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 80' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Sarr 88' yellowcard
  • Josh Acheampong 88' yellowcard
  • Josh Acheampong 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 46'
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 57'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bruun Larsen 78'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bruun Larsen 79'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 83'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 83'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 84'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 84'
  • goal Zian Flemming 90'+3'

Chelsea vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.40pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.08% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 67.68%
Draw 19.08%
Burnley 13.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 57.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.51%
Over 4.5 22.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.77% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 52.31%
Draw 33.44%
Burnley 14.26%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 72.81% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Burnley 22.13%

Corners

Over 8 62.8%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 26.11%
Over 9 51.02%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 37.2%
Over 10.5 39.59%
Under 10.5 60.41%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 35.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 83.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 47.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 52.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 17.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 82.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 95.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.88%
Under 3.5 99.12%

Score analysis

Chelsea 67.69%
Draw 19.08%
Burnley 13.24%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.1%
3-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 16.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 67.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98%
0-0 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 19.08%
Burnley
0-1 @ 4.16%
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.24%

Head to Head

Premier League
Burnley
Nov 22, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
Premier League Gameweek 30
Chelsea
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Burnley
  • Axel Disasi 20' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 35' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 44' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 78' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 16'
  • redcard Lorenz Assignon 40'
  • redcard Vincent Kompany 43'
  • goal Josh Cullen 47'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 45'+3'
  • goal Dara O'Shea 81'
  • yellowcard Maxime Esteve 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Burnley
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 2 1
FT Turf Moor
Chelsea
  • Wilson Odobert 15' goal
  • Wilson Odobert 15' goal
  • Josh Cullen 30' yellowcard
  • Wilson Odobert 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 26'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 27'
  • goal Ameen Al Dakhil 42' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pochettino 45'+4'
  • goal Cole Palmer 50'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 65'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 74'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 74'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Burnley
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Ashley Barnes 84' yellowcard
  • Ashley Westwood 89' yellowcard
  • goal Reece James 47'
  • goal Kai Havertz 52'
  • goal Kai Havertz 55'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 69'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Chelsea
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Burnley
  • Kai Havertz 33' goal
  • Reece James 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 68'
  • yellowcard Maxwel Cornet 76'
  • goal Matej Vydra 79'
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 84'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 90'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Chelsea
Jan 31, 2021 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Burnley
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 40' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 60'

Form Data

Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea
Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 West Ham
Napoli 2 - 3 Chelsea
Burnley 1 - 2 Mansfield
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 2 West Ham
Sunderland 3 - 0 Burnley
Burnley 2 - 2 Spurs
Liverpool 1 - 1 Burnley

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