Premier League Gameweek 29
Brighton
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Yankuba Minteh 46' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 69' yellowcard
  • Joël Veltman 77' yellowcard
  • Yasin Ayari 77' yellowcard
  • H. Howell 77' yellowcard
  • Yasin Ayari 78' yellowcard
  • H. Howell 78' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 9'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 59'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 60'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 64'
  • yellowcard Christian Nørgaard 80'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Brighton 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.13% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 22.56% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 26.13%
Arsenal 51.32% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.04%
Under 3.5 73.96%
Over 4.5 15.11%
Under 4.5 84.89%

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 25.11%
Draw 40.02%
Arsenal 34.88% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 37.74% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Arsenal 53.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 31.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 44.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 43.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 34.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 23.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 76.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 7.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.61% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 76.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 45.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 54.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 21.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 78.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 22.55%
Draw 26.12%
Arsenal 51.33%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.41%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.12%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 12.75% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61%
Other @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 51.33%

Head to Head

Premier League
Arsenal
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Brighton
  • Martin Odegaard 14' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 52' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 69' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Coppola 56'
  • goal Diego Gomez 64'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 20
Brighton
Jan 4, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Arsenal
  • Joao Pedro 61' goal
  • Joel Veltman 64' yellowcard
  • Yankuba Minteh 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 16'
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 84'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 90'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Arsenal
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Kai Havertz 38' goal
  • Declan Rice 42' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 49' redcard
  • Jurrien Maduro 70' yellowcard
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 43'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 70'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Brighton
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 33'
  • goal Kai Havertz 62'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 79'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 86'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Arsenal
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Ben White 38' yellowcard
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 53' goal
  • Kai Havertz 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 43'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 76'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 89'

Form Data

Brighton 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 3 - 0 Brighton
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 1 Crystal Palace
Brighton 1 - 1 Everton
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Spurs 1 - 4 Arsenal
Wolves 2 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 4 - 0 Wigan
Brentford 1 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 0 Sunderland

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