Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jan Paul van Hecke

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
Spurs 1 - 4 Arsenal
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw has a probability of 25.23% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it is 1-0 (6.97%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 21.38% (-0.08)
Draw 25.23% (-0.04)
Arsenal 53.36% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.78% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 47.11% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.89% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.76% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.24% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.15% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.85% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 22.62%
Draw 40.05%
Arsenal 37.34%

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 35.39% (-0.11)
No Goal 9.16% (-0.04)
Arsenal 55.45% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 57.53%
Equal 8 11.32% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.15% (+0.01)
Over 9 46.02% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.47%
Over 10.5 35.25%
Under 10.5 64.75%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 22.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.48% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.96% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.79% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.21% (-0.03)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 77.88% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 22.12% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 47.21% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 52.79% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 21.89% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 78.11% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.31% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.69% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 21.39%
Draw 25.24%
Arsenal 53.36%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Total : 21.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 25.24%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 12.86% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.88% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-3 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84%
Other @ 8.16% (+0.02)
Total : 53.36%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Martin Odegaard 14' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 52' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 69' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Coppola 56'
  • goal Diego Gomez 64'
EFL Cup
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Joao Pedro 61' goal
  • Joel Veltman 64' yellowcard
  • Yankuba Minteh 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 16'
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 84'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 90'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 38' goal
  • Declan Rice 42' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 49' redcard
  • Jurrien Maduro 70' yellowcard
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 43'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 70'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 33'
  • goal Kai Havertz 62'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 79'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 86'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Ben White 38' yellowcard
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 53' goal
  • Kai Havertz 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 43'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 76'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 89'